Who’ll win Eurovision 2025? Here are the latest bookies’ odds

The bookies’ odds for who is most likely to win the Eurovision Song Contest 2025 have been updated following the second semi-final on Thursday ahead of the final tonight (Saturday May 17) . Check them out below.
The latest round of the competition took place in Basel, Switzerland, ahead of the Grand Final. Thursday’s instalment saw 10 acts progress to this weekend’s final via a pubic vote. These were Armenia’s PARG, Austria’s JJ, Denmark’s Sissal, Finland’s Erika Vikman, Greece’s Klavdia, Israel’s Yuval Raphael, Latvia’s Tautumeitas, Lithuania’s Katarsis, Luxembourg’s Laura Thorn and Malta’s Miriana Conte.
Six countries were eliminated: Australia’s Go-Jo, Czechia’s Adonxs, Georgia’s Mariam Shengelia, Ireland’s Emmy Kristiansen, Montenegro’s Nina Žižić and Serbia’s Princ.
The first semi-final was held on Tuesday (May 13). This saw another 10 entries progress to Saturday’s Grand Final: Estonia’s Tommy Cash, Norway’s Kyle Alessandro, Netherlands’ Claude, Ukraine’s Ziferblat, Albania’s Shkodra Elektronike, Sweden’s KAJ, Poland’s Justyna Steczkowska, Portugal’s Napa, San Marino’s Gabry Ponte, and Iceland’s VÆB.
Five competitors did not make it through to the next round of the contest: Azerbaijan’s Mamagama, Belgium’s Red Sebastian, Cyprus’ Theo Evan, Croatia’s Marko Bošnjak, and Slovenia’s Klemen.
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest is due to air live on BBC One and BBC iPlayer.
The 20 successful acts from the two semi-finals will join the six automatic qualifiers: host country Switzerland, as well as the ‘Big Five’ countries France, Germany, Italy, Spain and the UK.
Israel’s success last night came just hours after protesters tried to disrupt the country’s dress rehearsal in the second semi-final. As BBC News reports, Yuval Raphael’s performance of ‘New Day Will Rise’ was interrupted by six people with whistles and Palestinian flags.
There has been controversy surrounding this year’s event after over 70 former Eurovision contestants signed a letter calling to ban Israel. The letter said that the inclusion of Israel in the 2024 edition led to it being “the most politicised, chaotic and unpleasant in the competition’s history”.
It also accuses KAN of being “complicit in Israel’s genocide against the Palestinians in Gaza and the decades-long regime of apartheid and military occupation against the entire Palestinian people”, and claimed that the EBU was “normalising and whitewashing its crimes”.
Irish broadcaster RTÉ has also asked Eurovision for a discussion over Israel’s involvement in the song contest.
According to the latest bookies odds, Swedish comedy trio KAJ are favourites to win with their song ‘Bara Bada Bastu’. They currently have a 42 per cent chance of snagging the crown this year.
Austrian singer JJ is the second favourite with his operatic ballad ‘Wasted Love’, with odds of 21 per cent, while French singer Louane is in third place on eight per cent for her song ‘Maman’.
Despite the controversy surrounding Israel, Raphael is currently the sixth favourite with her piano ballad ‘New Day Will Rise’, at three per cent in the latest bookies’ odds. She is behind Netherlands’ Claude at fourth place (six per cent) and Finland’s Erika Vikman in fifth (four per cent).
Estonia’s Tommy Cash is currently seventh on three per cent, while the UK’s entry, Remember Monday, are 11th on one per cent.
See the current bookies’ odds for all 26 remaining contestants below (last updated at 10am BST, May 16).
1) Sweden – KAJ – ‘Bara Bada Bastu’ – 42 per cent
2) Austria – JJ – ‘Wasted Love’ – 21 per cent
3) France – Louane – ‘Maman’ – eight per cent
4) Netherlands – Claude – ‘Cest La Vie’ – six per cent
5) Finland – Erika Vikman – ‘ICH KOMME’ – four per cent
6) Israel – Yuval Raphael – ‘New Day Will Rise’ – three per cent
7) Estonia – Tommy Cash – ‘Espresso Macchiato’ – three per cent
8) Switzerland – Zoë Më – ‘Voyage’ – three per cent
9) Albania – Shkodra Elektronike – ‘Zjerm’ – two per cent
10) Malta – Miriana Conte – ‘SERVING’ – one per cent
11) UK – Remember Monday – ‘What the Hell Just Happened?’ – one per cent
12) Italy – Lucio Corsi – ‘Volevo Essere Un Duro’ – one per cent
13) Ukraine – Ziferblat – ‘Bird Of Pray’ – one per cent
14) Germany – Abor & Tynna – ‘Baller’ – one per cent
15) Spain – Melody – ‘ESA DIVA’ – one per cent
16) Luxembourg – Laura Thorn – ‘La Poupée Monte Le Son’ – < one per cent
17) Greece – Klavdia – ‘Asteromáta’ – < one per cent
18) San Marino – Gabry Ponte – Tutta LItalia – one per cent
19) Denmark – Sissal – ‘Hallucination’ – < one per cent
20) Poland – Justyna Steczkowska – ‘GAJA’ – one per cent
21) Lithuania – Katarsis – Tavo Akys – < one per cent
22) Norway – Kyle Alessandro – ‘Lighter’ – < one per cent
23) Latvia – Tautumeitas – ‘Bur Man Laimi’ < one per cent
24) Iceland – VÆB – ‘RÓA’ – < one per cent
25) Portugal – NAPA – ‘Deslocado’ – < one per cent
26) Armenia – PARG – ‘SURVIVOR’ – < one per cent
Remember Monday recently spoke to NME about competing in this year’s song contest in Basel – and revealed that Queen‘s ‘Bohemian Rhapsody’ was a major influence on their “chaotic” power-pop song ‘What the Hell Just Happened?’
The country-pop trio – Lauren Byrne, Holly-Anne Hull and Charlotte Steele – are the first girl-group to represent the UK since Precious, who finished in 12th place in 1999. The UK has only cracked the Top 10 on three occasions since then, most recently when Sam Ryder came second three years ago.
“There were loads of people online saying, ‘I don’t know how a country song will go down at Eurovision.’ And obviously we just had to sit there and keep quiet,” Byrne said.
Steele added: “In a way, that speculation helped us because we were so excited and proud of the song, which is quite different, that we just couldn’t wait for people to hear it.”
Estonia’s Eurovision 2025 entry Tommy Cash also recently spoke to NME about the inspirations behind his controversial song ‘Espresso Macchiato’ and his hopes for winning.
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